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» Discussion Forums » Reading Topic
» Girls Soccer Forums » 00-01 / U10 Girls » GU11 (Aug 02 to Jul 01) strength ratings << Older
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LastPlanet January 18th, 2013 17:45 GMT Print this post
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Post: #53340
PT: #11/26




Quoted from: mtnlady, January 18th, 2013 16:49  GMT
Love to see the same stats for the u13g soon to be u14g!

It's easy (LOL).  All you have to do is create a G13 match file like "G11 Game Results.csv" and "G11_Teams.csv" here
https://www.dropbox....zcz7eto5j/FrSKDe86yG

I did not assemble the match data (I do B00, B99, B98 in WA/OR and do the stats).  A truly dedicated (insane?) parent in WA assembled the west coast G01 match data out of curiosity of how WA teams rank against CA teams (not so hot).  The hard part is not entering the matches.  Those can mostly be done by computer via webscraping.  The truly mind-numbing part is matching up team names.  Some teams use like 10 different names in different tournaments.  It's as if teams were trying to play incognito.  

LastPlanet
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PREMIER02G January 21st, 2013 23:44 GMT Print this post
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Post: #53413
PT: #12/26



well done!
Premier02g
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LastPlanet February 04th, 2013 22:43 GMT Print this post
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Post: #53658
PT: #13/26



February west coast G01 ranks based on updated data have been posted.
http://lastplanetranking.blogspot.com/p/g01.html

If you go to the "Individual Team Analyses" on that page, you'll see pdfs for each team with how they performed relative to expected for each game (page 1) and then on page 2 all the games in All for One's database on that team.  'Match data' is the whole G01 match database (this is what goes into the analysis).  

If you see a tournament that is missing (it's hard to keep track of all of them in CA since we are in WA), you can email me the missing tournament data to lastplanetranking@gmail.com .  Check out the format for entering matches in an Excel file:
https://www.dropbox....eyypc/scores-web.csv
or send a link to the tournament (if it is hosted by Demosphere or GotSport, which can be scraped).
LastPlanet
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Aby N February 12th, 2013 19:59 GMT Print this post
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Post: #53820
PT: #14/26



Amazing work by all!

State cup results for presidents bracket Q were 100% accurate with finishing positions.

Any idea if the parent will be projecting the first few leg's for the remaining portion of the tourney?
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futballinator February 13th, 2013 05:48 GMT Print this post
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Post: #53831
PT: #15/26




Quoted from: LastPlanet, February 04th, 2013 22:43  GMT
February west coast G01 ranks based on updated data have been posted.
http://lastplanetranking.blogspot.com/p/g01.html

If you go to the "Individual Team Analyses" on that page, you'll see pdfs for each team with how they performed relative to expected for each game (page 1) and then on page 2 all the games in All for One's database on that team.  'Match data' is the whole G01 match database (this is what goes into the analysis).  

If you see a tournament that is missing (it's hard to keep track of all of them in CA since we are in WA), you can email me the missing tournament data to lastplanetranking@gmail.com .  Check out the format for entering matches in an Excel file:
https://www.dropbox....eyypc/scores-web.csv
or send a link to the tournament (if it is hosted by Demosphere or GotSport, which can be scraped).



Based on this eliminating So Cal teams:

predicted  vs final

1.  USA Stars  n/a
2.  Ajax Elite   1st
3.  Mustang Legends  9th
4.  SRU Earthquakes, 3rd
5.  Loomis Storm, 5th
6.  MVLA Blue, 2nd
7.  Rage Orange, 4th
8.  FC Elk Grove Navy, 13th
9.  Los Gatos Black, 10th
10.  Davis Stampede, 11th
11.  Force Blue, 6th
12.  UC Tops, 7th
13.  Eureka Shamrocks, 33rd
14.  San Juan Blue, 8th
15.  Cal Odyssey Red, 19th
16.  ACC Mavericks Dynamite, 12th
17.  San Ramon Azuri, 21-24
18.  Gryphons Red, 15th
19.  Ajax Premier, 17th
20.  CASA BOCA 01 (original BOCA), 36-39th
21.  Mustang Blast, 14th

Or course there is inherent accuracy based on using actual match data--which looks like it went through 2/4/13, but pretty nice modeling.  
Futballinator
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LastPlanet March 17th, 2013 04:07 GMT Print this post
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Post: #54365
PT: #16/26

This message was edited by LastPlanet on March 17th, 2013 04:07 GMT

I have a big update to the G01 ratings posted. Ratings now cover UT, AZ, NV, ID, WA, OR and CA. New individual team analyses are also posted so you can look at how teams did compared to expected performance and see all of a team's games that are in the database. Here's the top-30 CAN teams (according to this particular algorithm). The full list of all CAN (and CAS) teams can be found here: http://lastplanetranking.blogspot.com/p/g01.html   Sorry, I didn't have time to post predictions for the NorCal state cups like I did for the SoCal Presidents cup, but good to see the ranking seemed to match up fairly well with the state cup finishes.

1                           USA Stars 02 A G01  8.39  16.17   20.70      16                            
2                     Ajax United 02 Elite G01  7.90  18.26   13.13      44            NorCal Gold U12
3                          Mustang Legends G01  7.39  15.48   10.87      47             NorCal Premier
4            Santa Rosa United Earthquakes G01  7.04   8.89   14.76      29            NorCal Gold U12
6                         Loomis YSC Storm G01  6.40   6.99   12.04      36 CalNorth CCSL-Silver Elite
7                      MVLA Avalanche Blue G01  6.26  10.32    7.43      32             NorCal Premier
8                     FC Elk Grove 02 Navy G01  6.09  11.39    5.97      45             NorCal Premier
9                       De Anza Force Blue G01  5.97   8.11    7.73      30             NorCal Premier
10                   Davis Legacy Stampede G01  5.96   9.48    6.59      33             NorCal Premier
11                         UC Premier Tops G01  5.91   9.04    6.65      41             NorCal Premier
12                  Pleasanton Rage Orange G01  5.89   9.13    6.48      33             NorCal Premier
13                  Los Gatos United Black G01  5.86   9.29    6.27      35             NorCal Premier
14                  Eureka YS 02 Shamrocks G01  5.51   5.24    8.72      34 CalNorth CCSL-Silver Elite
15                      Cal Odyssey SC Red G01  5.28   7.88    4.94      29             NorCal Premier
16                        Diablo FC Xtreme G01  5.24   7.38    5.11      39             NorCal Premier
17                        GSC Gryphons Red G01  5.16   7.77    4.62      30             NorCal Premier
18             San Juan SC 02 Spirits Blue G01  5.15   6.90    5.15      35             NorCal Premier
19                  Ajax United 02 Premier G01  5.13   8.06    4.34      39                NorCal Gold
20                  ACC Mavericks Dynamite G01  5.12   8.29    4.20      34             NorCal Premier
21                           Mustang Blast G01  5.11   5.10    6.77      47             NorCal Premier
22                      San Ramon 02 Azuri G01  5.09   6.37    5.35      32             NorCal Premier
23                               CASA Boca G01  5.05   6.95    4.77      27             NorCal Premier
24           Sacramento United Extreme Red G01  4.88   6.42    4.60      28             NorCal Premier
25                   SF Vikings Ravens Red G01  4.77   5.33    5.13      22         CalNorth CCSL-Gold
26                      California Cougars G01  4.70   5.69    4.57      45             NorCal Premier
27              Livermore Fusion SC Maroon G01  4.55   5.59    4.18      33                NorCal Gold
28                    Placer United 02 Red G01  4.50   4.84    4.68      32             NorCal Premier
29       Clovis JR SL 02 Crossfire Amazons G01  4.42   5.39    3.98      29       CalNorth CCSL-Silver
30                  Peninsula Odyssey Blue G01  4.31   3.68    5.40      21             NorCal Premier



LastPlanet
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TVSoccer March 21st, 2013 07:10 GMT Print this post
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Post: #54384
PT: #17/26



Thanks for putting this together, LastPlanet.  Statistical Analysis is always interesting. I had to look hard for Mustang's 3rd team (Xplosion), which is down at 149 overall and what looks to be in the 60's for NorCal teams, which is where it belongs, statistically.  However, that team finished in 16th at the NorCal state Cup, based on both a little bit of luck and a lot of heart.  Hard to adjust statistical analysis for the "bunch of 10 year olds on the field on any given day" factor, which affected both the Legends and the Xplosion at state cup.
TVS
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11RoCks April 10th, 2013 03:14 GMT Print this post
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Post: #54500
PT: #18/26



GRYPHONS SC 98/99/00 Girls ( and 03 Boys) have OPEN tryouts, if you want to learn from a great coach, contact Coach Ricardo via email and come to a few practices to see if you like it. He is an outstanding coach, many of his players are ODP & PDP (STATE and Regional), ID2, NTC, or now play ECNL.  Email him for more info..  RGNMarta23@aol.com
"Success is no accident. It is hard work, perseverance, learning, studying, sacrifice and most of all, love of what you are doing or learning to do."   Pele


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LastPlanet July 10th, 2013 18:40 GMT Print this post
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Post: #55158
PT: #19/26

This message was edited by LastPlanet on July 10th, 2013 18:40 GMT

Updated West Coast G01 Ranks posted with the 2013 May-June games included.
http://lastplanetranking.blogspot.com/p/g01.html

For now, the ranking includes all games in the database: May 2012 to June 2013.   Looking at the individual team's pdfs (click on the team name) will allow you to see if there has been a big change in summer performance relative to predicted from last year's performance.

--LP
LastPlanet
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TJSoccer July 14th, 2013 23:09 GMT Print this post
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Post: #55197
PT: #20/26



Awesome work once again.  You do have an issue when a team changes names to a team name that exists.  For instance, San Juan Blue changed to San Juan Jr Ecnl and San Juan White changed to San Juan Blue.  The gotsoccer team number stayed with the team, though.  Those two teams have the wrong games listed in their PDF.  Regardless, thanks for the work.
PM: TJSoccer
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